History | How Stuart Tucker's Odds Are Calculated | Registered Teams | Odds
The TEAM tournament is now CLOSED for new submissions. Can you pick the top 10?
If you have preregistered for WBC, watch your email inbox for instructions on entering the Bracket Busting Contest and winning free BPA membership for 2014.
TEAM TOURNAMENT: Teams are composed of any four players pre-registered as a team. Each team member must select a different event as his official game. Team members and games may change only during
pre-registration. No changes may take place on-site. In case of conflicting entries, the last version received was official. All team members had to be registered for the convention (or hold applicable BPA membership) by July 20.
All Team Points are awarded automatically when the GM turns in the Winner’s Claim for an event (see the Points Schedule). A bonus point will be awarded to everyone who earns team points in an event that they have previously not won. The team that gains the most points is the winner. The number of entrants in each team’s events is the tie-breaker.
Team Tournament Point Schedule
Entrants |
1st |
2nd |
3rd-4th |
5th-6th |
128+ |
10 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
64+ |
9 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
32+ |
8 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
16+ |
7 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
8+ |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
BRACKET BUSING CONTEST: All pre-registrants will receive an email invitation to participate in the bracket busting contest with the final teams and odds shortly before WBC begins. Join the fun and win a free membership next year by picking the most Top Ten teams.
Scoring: To improve the speed with which the standings are updated, Team Member, whether they score a point or not, should post their point totals on the Team Tournament kiosk Standings Board as soon as they are known. The Point Schedule is listed in the printed program. Those who score points in an event they have never won will receive one bonus point. While the self-service scoring is unofficial and subject to verification, it allows attendees to gain a current sense of where they are in the standings as the week unfolds. Since the results of some events are not known until the very end (and later) of the convention, the official scoring will be done the following week and posted here. Each member of the winning team receives a Team plaque and is memorialized on the website and in the Yearbook. The winning team will receive a plaque at the 2014 convention.
2013 Teams, in order of submission [as of July 21, 2013]
Click on the graphic to see a larger version. Unofficial team logos courtesy of Dave Dockter and Kaarin Engelmann.
If you would like to supply your own team logo, send it to webmaster@boardgamers.org.
Red type indicates changes from previous versions. |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
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Name: Gaming Speed Bumps
Team #: 1
Lee Rodrigues KRM,
Craig Yope A&A,
Robert Frisby ANZ,
Doug Porterfield AOA |
Name: The Cabooses
Team #: 2
Adina Weiss SET,
Yoni Weiss LST,
Drew DuBoff TTR,
Max DuBoff GXY |
Name: Cynical Stoics
Team #: 3
Derek Landel WOG,
Eric Wrobel MOV,
Mike Ussery WNW,
Matt Bacho FDE |
Name: Make My Day
Team #: 4
Peter Reese WLL,
Bill Edwards CBC,
George Young WWR,
Andrew Maly AUT |
Name: Aces & Eights
Team #: 5
John Clarke WAT,
Ron Glass WSM,
Mike Horn MFD,
Patrick Mirk A&A |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
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Name: Your Name's Not Bruce?
Team #: 6
Bruce Beard 8xx,
Bruce Monnin WAS,
Bruce Reiff FBS,
Eric "Bruce" Brosius EPB
|
Name: St Paul's Rejects
Team #: 7
John Pack WAS,
Steve Packwood A&A,
Sam Packwood EPB,
Anthony Daw PRO
|
Name: Consulting Firm
Team #: 8
Nick Henning FAS,
Karl Henning GXT,
David Meyaard ELC,
Jon Gemmell ING
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Name: Pixel Juice
Team #: 9
Carmen Petruzzelli MED,
Brad Sherwood PRO,
Kevin Shaud ALH,
Lou Traini 7WS
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Name: AREA
Team #: 10
Bob Hamel TIM,
Ed Menzel GBG,
John Sharp VIP,
Bruno Wolff TT2
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11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
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Name: The Harley Gang
Team #: 11
Russell Harley AGE,
Kathryn Harley DOM,
Christina Harley ACV,
Virginia Harley HWD |
Name: Ice & Fire
Team #: 12
Kaarin Engelmann SLS,
Karsten Engelmann TWS,
Rebecca Hebner EGZ,
Noah Engelmann AOA
|
Name: Nathan's Nuggets
Team #: 13
Jacob Hebner PDT,
Angela Collinson CMS,
Nathan Hill MAN,
Kevin Lewis FAS |
Name: Kromp on Krewe
Team #: 14
Roger Taylor KOH,
Paul McCarthy HIS,
Chris Godfrey TWS,
Phil Rodrigues NW5 |
Name: MIT SGS
Team #: 15
Marty Sample GXY,
Michael Johnson FAS,
Dave Finberg TTN,
Aaron Fuegi TT2 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
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Name: 3 Men & a Canadian
Team #:16
Bill Dyer FDE,
Brad Johnson RRY,
Glenn McMaster DUN,
Joe Abrams MOV |
Name: Uncivil Servants
Team #: 17
Chris Trimmer WOR,
Ewan McNay BRI,
Ty Hansen A&A,
Kevin Youells ACV |
Name: Cardboard Heroes
Team #: 18
Kathy Stroh MOV,
Bill Navolis RRY,
Cliff Ackman STA,
Steve Squibb ACS |
Name: Pea Soup
Team #: 19
Marc Beauregard MED,
David Gagne BCY,
Romain Jacques T&T,
Stephane Dorais ABN |
Name: We Ain't Dead Yet
Team #: 20
Frank Sinigaglio CMS,
Don Greenwood BKN,
Bruno Sinigaglio BAR,
Larry Lingle QGB |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
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Name: The Wrath of Don
Team #: 21
Chris Yaure BAT,
Phil Yaure LBY,
Joe Yaure PRC,
Samantha Berk MMS |
Name: Mongols
Team #: 22
Joe Harrison M44,
Sophie Harrison SET,
David Gubbay QGB,
Tom Johnston POF |
Name: Wood Bee Contenders
Team #: 23
Bill Crenshaw MFD,
Jason Levine FDE,
Doug Galullo ACV,
Jeff Cornett E&T |
Name: Iron Meeples
Team #: 24
Grant LaDue WNW,
Bob Sohn SKG,
Derek Pulhamus WSR,
James Terry CCA |
Name: Band of Fools
Team #: 25
Richard Beyma GBG,
Gary Dickson TRC,
Ray Freeman TIM,
Tom Gregorio BWD |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
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Name: Transit Boys
Team #: 26
Jeremiah Peterson SJN,
Chris Kreuter RFG,
Eric Heller COB,
Ted Mullally AGE
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Name: Nest of Spies
Team #: 27
James Pei FTP,
Stefan Mecay TWS,
Chris Byrd HRC,
Nick Pei HWD |
Name: Joshua 23:10
Team #: 28
Jennifer Day ACV,
Michael Day VIP,
Rachael Day DUN,
Warren Day CMS
|
Name: Forgot Our Team Name
Team #: 29
Lisa Gutermuth FMR,
Sean McCulloch TT2,
Jeff Mullet MFD,
Pete Stein CCA |
Name: Go Flank Yourself
Team #: 30
Allen Hill MAN,
Dave Cross CQP,
Rob Doane BAR,
Justin Rice KPR |
31 |
32 |
33 |
34 |
35 |
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Name: Sweep the Leg
Team #: 31
Jeff Burdett LBY,
Jeff Heidman VGQ,
Jeromey Martin SKG,
Nels Thompson BKN |
Name: Blobs of Protoplasm
Team #: 32
John Keating KRM,
Joel Tamburo AAY,
Tim Keating IVH,
Shannon Keating FMR |
Name: The Other Guys
Team #: 33
Keith Levy IVH,
Jim Sparks WAW,
Jeff Kahan MOV,
Eric Sokolowosky PGD |
Name: Chicks With Dice
Team #: 34
Marilyn Flowers QGB,
Carrie Lewis MMS,
Rolinda Collinson GSR,
Eve Secunda RBN |
Name: Me & 3 Stiffs
Team #: 35
Keith Wixson WNW
Marvin Birnbaum WWR
Henry Rice HRC
Kevin Wojtaszczyk WOR |
36 |
37 |
38 |
39 |
40 |
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Name: Noobz
Team #: 36
Paul Klayder SJN,
Henry Allen TTR,
Joe Millovich STA,
Stephen Yu 8XX |
Name: Wesley Crushers
Team #: 37
Debra Yaure T&T,
Emily Bacon SPG,
Robin Yaure SET,
William Brock SLS |
Name: Mean Sheep
Team #: 38
Barrett Straub AVU
Jason Long POF
Dana Champion 7WS
Zachary Felix RRY |
Name: Beginners Luck
Team #: 39
Dominic Blais AMR
François de Bellefeuille B&O
Anthony Lainess AUT
John Dextraze BRS |
Name: Haliquoit Hammers
Team #: 40
Michael Kiefte
HIS
David Kiefte LBY
Andrew Kiefte AOA
Rob Winslow CBC |
41 |
42 |
43 |
44 |
45 |
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Name: Local Yokels
Team #: 41
Chad Weaver DOM
Dusty Usner CAR
Erik Schlosser COB
Ken Schlosser SJN |
Name: Hello Kitty Kommandos
Team #: 42
Chris Bauch MMS
Allen Kaplan CCA
Chris Sasso M44
Terry Coleman SSB |
Name: The Shockers
Team #: 43
Marty Musella BWD
Justin Thompson JUC
Josh Cooper ACQ
Bert Schoose PZB |
Name: Magic Men
Team #: 44
Randy Buehler AGE,
Andrew Emerick NVG,
Ed Fear COB,
Sceadeau D'Tela EGZ |
Name: Lady Luck
Team #: 45
Laurie Wojtaszczyk LST
Carol Caler ATS
Marcy Morelli PRO
Sue Goodson NVG |
46 |
47 |
48 |
49 |
50 |
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Name: Barbarossa
Team #: 46
Fred Minard B&O,
Curt Collins UNP,
Chris Gnech EPB,
Max Jamelli ABN |
Name: Jay's Basement
Team #: 47
Jay Fox TTR,
Carl Krosnick DUN,
Albert Schwartz 7WS,
Yoel Weiss LST |
Name: Snake-Eyed Bandits
Team #: 48
Chuck Leonard SQL,
David Zimmerman GBG,
Art Dohrman PZB,
Jeff Miller HWD |
Name: Beach Bums
Team #: 49
Ed Beach GCA,
Sarah Beach T&T,
Matthew Beach FI5,
Natalie Beach SLS |
Name: Ghost Division
Team #: 50
Kevin Hammond CAR,
Andrew Cummins SQL,
Mike Kaye BKN,
Jim Eliason VIP |
51 |
52 |
53 |
54 |
55 |
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Name: Axis of Ignorance
Team #: 51
Ed Paule VIP,
Scott Beall WAS,
Lewis Lin T&T,
Tim Tow FTP |
Name: Gang Greene
Team #: 52
Rob McCracken BAR,
Andy Lewis SFR,
Rod Coffey ATA,
Dave Stiffler MMW |
Name: Ski Patrol
Team #: 53
Mikaela Kumlander 8XX,
Antero Kuusi EOS,
Mikko Raimi MAN,
Riku Riekkinen TWS |
Name: Good Bad Ugly & Evil
Team #: 54
Gudny Osk Scheving STA
Haakon R. Monsen 7WS
Vidar Aas CAR
Wilfred Meyboom RRY |
Name: Polish Lancers
Team #: 55
John Poniske WWR
Rick Young CCA
Paul Gaberson WNW
Dave Metzger AHD |
56 |
57 |
58 |
59 |
60 |
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Name: Tea Blind Mice
Team #: 56
Harry Flawd PDT,
Jordan Flawd TTA,
Mark Yoshikawa ATS,
Mark Mitchell GXY |
Name: The Gaming Bunch
Team #: 57
Forrest Speck ABN,
Faith Wobbeking STA,
John Speck FMR,
John Wobbeking LLM |
Name: Philly Streets
Team #: 58
Aran Warszawski AGE,
Haim Hochboim AGR,
Jonathan Senn PRO,
Ben Scholl DOM |
Name: The Four Amigos
Team #: 59
Rob Murray AGR,
Kyle Smith T&T,
Marissa Bianco STA,
Ryan Houman PGD |
Name: GM - War
Team #: 60
Bill Beckman SSB,
Bryan Collars KPR,
John Emery UPF,
Josh Githens CMS |
61 |
62 |
63 |
64 |
65 |
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Name: GM - Death
Team #: 61
Bruce Young UPF,
RJ Gleaton PRC,
Mike Hazel ELG,
Tim Rogers B17 |
Name: GM - Famine
Team #: 62
Bill Burtless TTR,
Carl Sykes ACQ,
Kevin Emery UPF,
John Bateman B17 |
Name: GM - Pestilence
Team #: 63
Mark Smith MED,
Mark Loder AMR,
Gus Collars PRC,
Melody Loder DOM |
Name: Apocalypse Parrot Heads
Team #: 64
Richard Bliss M44,
Scott Pfeiffer NW5,
Ralph Gleaton UPF,
Dan Lawall RRY |
Name: The Lions of Winter
Team #: 65
Derek Glenn DOM
Eric Ho AGR
Perrianne Lurie SPG
Gareth Williams M44 |
66 |
67 |
68 |
69 |
70 |
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Name: Chairmen of the Board
Team #: 66
Debbie Gutermuth EPB,
Trella Bromley RBN,
Danny Lewis SCC,
Ken Gutermuth MMS |
Name: Wabbit's Wevenge
Team #: 67
Chris Moffa GOA,
Barb Flaxington TKL,
Eric Freeman AMR,
Craig Moffitt E&T |
Name: Athena & 3 Spartans
Team #: 68
Kirk Harris HIS,
Evan Harris LBY,
Manuel Bravo IVH,
Bertha Torres-Harris SET |
Name: Win, Storm & Struggle
Team #: 69
Stuart Tucker WPS,
John Coussis ACS,
Tim Bina TWS,
Tom Drueding JUC |
Name: Princess & the Frogs
Team #: 70
Holiday Saccenti ELC,
Scott Saccenti SPB,
Antony Saccenti DOM,
Donte Saccenti COB |
71 |
72 |
73 |
74 |
75 |
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Name: Mountin' Laurels
Team #: 71
Bob Stribula EPB,
Scott Salvatore NW5,
Randy MacInnis HRC,
Keith Layton ACS |
Name: Four to Beam Up
Team #: 72
Steve Cameron SCC,
Jim Savarick PGD,
Steve Simmons AOR,
Alex Bove GOA |
Name: Under the Wire
Team #: 73
Jim Vroom ROS,
Nessa Savarick TTR,
Mike Kaltman AGR,
Dave Bohnenberger CNS |
Name: Possum Gamers
Team #: 74
John Elliott ACS,
Joseph Collinson III WAS,
Ben Collinson NVW,
Ben Collinson Jr SMW |
Name: KGB A
Team #: 75
Mark Guttag FI5,
Lyman Moquin SKG,
Malcolm Smith HOS,
Ron Draker NAP |
76 |
77 |
78 |
79 |
80 |
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Name: KGB B
Team #: 76
Fred Bauer HOS,
Todd Austin JUC,
Sharon Bryant M44,
Steve Lollis BCY |
Name: Mantis Shrimp
Team #: 77
Andy Latto T&T,
Cally Perry YSP,
Chris Senhouse AGR,
Chris Shabsin RFG |
Name: Age Differential
Team #: 78
Mike Stanley CMS,
Victoria Reiff LLM,
Adam Wojtaszczyk RA!,
Wes Lewis SSB |
Name: The Board of Education
Team #: 79
Richard Miller AGR,
Zach Snyder DOM,
Doug Landis M44,
Caley Roark SSB |
Name: Wood for Sheep
Team #: 80
Tom Bissa ACS
Greg Ziemba STA
Karl Buchholz SET
David Buchholz RA! |
81 |
82 |
83 |
84 |
85 |
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Name: Reservoir Dogs
Team #: 81
Jim Doughan BKN
JR Tracy CBC
Matt Fagan ABN
Phil Barcafer DUN |
Name: Greenspielers
Team #: 82
Matthew Craig ING,
Cary Morris VSD,
Elaine Pearson AUT,
Ian Streeb AGR |
Name: Team X
Team #: 83
Dan Dolan (The Elder) ELC
Dan Dolan (The Younger) CCA
Tim Dolan PDT
Chris Storzillo ABN |
Name: Handsome Tacos
Team #: 84
Winton Lemoine RA!,
Roderick Lee RRY,
Joshua Gottesman CBC,
Robert Woodson PGD |
Name: 3 Brits & a Yank
Team #: 85
Nick Smith CQP,
Barrington Beavis BAT,
Chris Hancock SCT,
Mark Love VSD |
86 |
87 |
88 |
89 |
90 |
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Name: Beauties & The Beast
Team #: 86
Joanna Melton GXY
Virginia Melton ABN
Rebecca Melton TTA
Craig Melton ACS |
Name: Avenel Hill Game Co
Team #: 87
Andy Gardner VIP
Ben Gardner GSR
Pat Richardson DOM
Henry Richardson Jr
B17 |
Name: Empire Strikes Back
Team #: 88
Graeme Tate AGR
Scott Burns TWS
Bruce Rae SCT
John Sutcliffe AHD |
Name: Forced Laughter
Team #: 89
Jennifer Visocnik ACV
Robert Drozd WAS
Charlie Drozd VIP
Ted Drozd FTC |
Name: Rolling Thunder
Team #: 90
Bruce Bernard ABN,
Brandon Bernard ELC,
Alyssa Gumkowski GSR,
Scott Smith SGM |
91 |
92 |
93 |
94 |
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Name: Beasts & the Beauty
Team #: 91
Franklin Rinko ACS,
Anna Rinko FMR,
Adam Nesmith DOM,
Thomas Melton GXY |
Name: Team Delaware XX
Team #: 92
Tim Hitchings EIS,
Vince Meconi AFK,
Verity Hitchings PRC,
John Kirk CCA |
Name: Veni, vidi, vici erat
Team #: 93
Michael Holmquist EPB,
Craig Dudley MOV,
Bruce Osgood SPG,
Chance Osgood 7WS |
Name: The A-Team
Team #: 94
Kolbe DiGiulio SET,
Ryan Darrenkamp DOM,
Ben Hash C&K,
Keith Galbraith ABN |
|
Handicapper Stuart Tucker Predicts Nest of Spies Win
July 24, 2013
Jeff has reinvented the wheel and overrated Magic Men. What was he thinking? My odds drop them out of the top 10, with Nest of Spies resuming their rightful place at the top of the list. Although our lists aren't tremendously different. Three other teams that my competitor underrates are Forgot Our Team Name, We Ain't Dead Yet, MIT SGS, and notably Consulting Firm, which come in ninth on my list and 23rd on his. Anybody who leaves Consulting Firm out of his or her Bracket Busting list is making a serious mistake. These young men have shown serious strength over the past few years. Of course, only the end of next week will tell which handicapper and Bracket Buster gets it most nearly right. Watch your email for instructions on entering the Bracket Busting contest and winning BPA membership in 2014.
*NOTE: Team 94 was added after odds were calculated. The entry was postmarked before the deadline. Thus, it is eligible for the team tournament and may be included in the Bracket Busting predictions.
Stuart
Final Odds: Stuart Tucker |
ST Rank |
ID |
Team Name |
Power Rating |
Odds of Winning |
1 |
27 |
Nest of Spies |
437 |
24 |
-1 |
2 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
409 |
26 |
-1 |
3 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
359 |
29 |
-1 |
4 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
303 |
35 |
-1 |
5 |
29 |
Forgot Our Team Name |
268 |
40 |
-1 |
6 |
60 |
War |
260 |
41 |
-1 |
7 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
241 |
44 |
-1 |
8 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
231 |
46 |
-1 |
9 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
229 |
47 |
-1 |
10 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
227 |
47 |
-1 |
11 |
67 |
Wabbit's Wevenge |
222 |
48 |
-1 |
12 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
219 |
49 |
-1 |
13 |
69 |
Win, Storm & Struggle |
216 |
50 |
-1 |
14 |
44 |
Magic Men |
213 |
50 |
-1 |
15 |
55 |
Polish Lancers |
212 |
51 |
-1 |
16 |
72 |
Four to Beam Up |
212 |
51 |
-1 |
17 |
4 |
Make My Day |
211 |
51 |
-1 |
18 |
35 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
207 |
52 |
-1 |
19 |
7 |
St. Paul's Rejects |
200 |
54 |
-1 |
20 |
83 |
Team X |
199 |
54 |
-1 |
21 |
92 |
Team Delaware XX |
192 |
56 |
-1 |
22 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
191 |
56 |
-1 |
23 |
43 |
The Shockers |
190 |
57 |
-1 |
24 |
81 |
Reservoir Dogs |
189 |
57 |
-1 |
25 |
66 |
Chairmen of the Board |
182 |
59 |
-1 |
26 |
56 |
Tea Blind Mice |
180 |
60 |
-1 |
27 |
50 |
Ghost Division |
167 |
64 |
-1 |
28 |
42 |
Hello Kitty Kommandos |
163 |
66 |
-1 |
29 |
87 |
Avenel Hill Game Co |
162 |
66 |
-1 |
30 |
49 |
Beach Bums |
154 |
70 |
-1 |
31 |
89 |
Forced Laughter |
154 |
70 |
-1 |
32 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
150 |
72 |
-1 |
33 |
75 |
KGB A |
147 |
73 |
-1 |
34 |
61 |
Death |
141 |
77 |
-1 |
35 |
10 |
AREA |
140 |
77 |
-1 |
36 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
127 |
85 |
-1 |
37 |
46 |
Barbarossa |
127 |
85 |
-1 |
38 |
77 |
Mantis Shrimp |
122 |
89 |
-1 |
39 |
58 |
Philly Streets |
121 |
89 |
-1 |
40 |
31 |
Sweep the Leg |
112 |
97 |
-1 |
41 |
64 |
Apocalypse Parrot Heads |
107 |
101 |
-1 |
42 |
85 |
3 Brits & a Yank |
102 |
106 |
-1 |
43 |
52 |
Gang Greene |
99 |
109 |
-1 |
44 |
30 |
Go Flank Yourself |
98 |
111 |
-1 |
45 |
53 |
Ski Patrol |
97 |
112 |
-1 |
46 |
82 |
Greenspielers |
93 |
117 |
-1 |
47 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
89 |
122 |
-1 |
48 |
84 |
Handsome Tacos |
85 |
128 |
-1 |
49 |
74 |
Possum Gamers |
84 |
129 |
-1 |
50 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
83 |
131 |
-1 |
51 |
32 |
Blobs of Protoplasm |
80 |
136 |
-1 |
52 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
79 |
137 |
-1 |
53 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
78 |
139 |
-1 |
54 |
90 |
Rolling Thunder |
77 |
141 |
-1 |
55 |
40 |
Haliquoit Hammers |
76 |
143 |
-1 |
56 |
33 |
The Other Guys |
74 |
147 |
-1 |
57 |
76 |
KGB B |
74 |
147 |
-1 |
58 |
22 |
Mongols |
67 |
162 |
-1 |
59 |
78 |
Age Differential |
67 |
162 |
-1 |
60 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
60 |
181 |
-1 |
61 |
48 |
Snake-Eyed Bandits |
60 |
181 |
-1 |
62 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
59 |
184 |
-1 |
63 |
41 |
Local Yokels |
56 |
194 |
-1 |
64 |
62 |
Famine |
54 |
201 |
-1 |
65 |
39 |
Beginner's Luck |
49 |
222 |
-1 |
66 |
59 |
4 Amigos & a Puppy |
49 |
222 |
-1 |
67 |
65 |
Lions of Winter |
49 |
222 |
-1 |
68 |
88 |
Empire Strikes Back |
49 |
222 |
-1 |
69 |
45 |
Lady Luck |
47 |
232 |
-1 |
70 |
26 |
TransitBoy |
45 |
242 |
-1 |
71 |
47 |
Jay's Basement |
45 |
242 |
-1 |
72 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
43 |
253 |
-1 |
73 |
34 |
Chicks With Dice |
42 |
259 |
-1 |
74 |
73 |
Under the Wire |
42 |
259 |
-1 |
75 |
57 |
The Gaming Bunch |
40 |
272 |
-1 |
76 |
28 |
Joshua 23:10 |
38 |
287 |
-1 |
77 |
36 |
Noobz |
38 |
287 |
-1 |
78 |
80 |
Wood for Sheep |
36 |
300 |
-1 |
79 |
86 |
Beauties & the Beast |
36 |
300 |
-1 |
80 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
31 |
350 |
-1 |
81 |
93 |
Veni, Vidi, Vici erat |
29 |
380 |
-1 |
82 |
38 |
Mean Sheep |
27 |
400 |
-1 |
83 |
51 |
Axis of Ignorance |
27 |
400 |
-1 |
84 |
63 |
Pestilence |
26 |
420 |
-1 |
85 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
20 |
550 |
-1 |
86 |
71 |
Mountin' Laurels |
11 |
1000 |
-1 |
87 |
68 |
Athena & 3 Spartans |
9 |
1200 |
-1 |
88 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
4 |
2700 |
-1 |
89 |
54 |
Good, Bad, Ugly & Evil |
4 |
2700 |
-1 |
90 |
79 |
The Board of Education |
3 |
3600 |
-1 |
91 |
91 |
Beasts & the Beauty |
3 |
3600 |
-1 |
92 |
70 |
Princess & the Frogs |
2 |
5500 |
-1 |
93 |
37 |
Wesley Crushers |
1 |
10900 |
-1 |
Magic Men Holds in the Edge in Final Oddsmaking
July 21, 2013
Our final count is 93 teams, with 20 new teams added this past weekend. The odds are updated to reflect the final list, as more and stronger teams came on board than originally modeled. Thus,l the odds of winning for all previous teams have gone down. (I've provided background information on how I calculated these odds and on the unclaimed free agents.)
Leading the list of new entrants is team Avenel Hill Game Co. This team ranks 21st on the full list of 93 teams. Team Avenel Hill Game Co is led by Andy Gardner who is seeking his 6th title in Victory in the Pacific.
After all the calculations and odds are done, defending champion, Magic Men, remain the team to beat. Everyone should know what to do when you come up against them in competition. Your targets are Randy Buehler in AGE, Andrew Emerick in NVG, Sceadeau D'Tela in EGZ, and Edward Fear in COB. We are all rooting for upsets.
Jeff
Final Odds: Jeff Cornett |
JC Rank |
ID |
Team Name |
Potential team points |
Odds of Winning |
1 |
44 |
Magic Men |
31.93 |
22 - 1 |
2 |
27 |
Nest of Spies |
28.95 |
24 - 1 |
3 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
26.29 |
27 - 1 |
4 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
25.89 |
27 - 1 |
5 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
23.47 |
30 - 1 |
6 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
21.15 |
33 - 1 |
7 |
35 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
19.83 |
35 - 1 |
8 |
60 |
War |
19.05 |
37 - 1 |
9 |
55 |
Polish Lancers |
16.98 |
41 - 1 |
10 |
53 |
Ski Patrol |
15.42 |
46 - 1 |
11 |
58 |
Philly Streets |
14.89 |
47 - 1 |
12 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
14.66 |
48 - 1 |
13 |
29 |
Forgot Our Team Name |
14.63 |
48 - 1 |
14 |
72 |
Four to Beam Up |
13.42 |
52 - 1 |
15 |
69 |
Win, Storm & Struggle |
13.16 |
53 - 1 |
16 |
43 |
The Shockers |
13.02 |
54 - 1 |
17 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
12.82 |
55 - 1 |
18 |
61 |
Death |
12.48 |
56 - 1 |
19 |
67 |
Wabbit's Wevenge |
12.40 |
57 - 1 |
20 |
4 |
Make My Day |
12.14 |
58 - 1 |
21 |
87 |
Avenel Hill Game Co |
11.93 |
59 - 1 |
22 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
11.90 |
59 - 1 |
23 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
11.60 |
61 - 1 |
24 |
50 |
Ghost Division |
11.59 |
61 - 1 |
25 |
66 |
Chairmen of the Board |
11.50 |
61 - 1 |
26 |
46 |
Barbarossa |
11.05 |
64 - 1 |
27 |
10 |
AREA |
9.81 |
72 - 1 |
28 |
56 |
Tea Blind Mice |
9.58 |
73 - 1 |
29 |
92 |
Team Delaware XX |
9.57 |
73 - 1 |
30 |
81 |
Reservoir Dogs |
9.32 |
75 - 1 |
31 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
8.68 |
81 - 1 |
32 |
83 |
Team X |
8.38 |
84 - 1 |
33 |
75 |
KGB A |
8.31 |
85 - 1 |
34 |
77 |
Mantis Shrimp |
8.24 |
85 - 1 |
35 |
89 |
Forced Laughter |
8.11 |
87 - 1 |
36 |
7 |
St Paul's Rejects |
7.48 |
94 - 1 |
37 |
65 |
Lions of Winter |
7.37 |
95 - 1 |
38 |
31 |
Sweep the Leg |
7.11 |
99 - 1 |
39 |
30 |
Go Flank Yourself |
7.08 |
99 - 1 |
40 |
39 |
Beginner's Luck |
6.53 |
108 - 1 |
41 |
42 |
Hello Kitty Kommandos |
6.33 |
111 - 1 |
42 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
6.05 |
116 - 1 |
43 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
5.65 |
124 - 1 |
44 |
49 |
Beach Bums |
5.62 |
125 - 1 |
45 |
82 |
Greenspielers |
5.53 |
127 - 1 |
46 |
90 |
Rolling Thunder |
5.49 |
128 - 1 |
47 |
88 |
Empire Strikes Back |
5.13 |
137 - 1 |
48 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
5.04 |
139 - 1 |
49 |
36 |
Noobz |
5.00 |
141 - 1 |
50 |
59 |
4 Amigos & a Puppy |
4.90 |
143 - 1 |
51 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
4.77 |
147 - 1 |
52 |
64 |
Apocalypse Parrot Heads |
4.74 |
148 - 1 |
53 |
22 |
Mongols |
4.72 |
149 - 1 |
54 |
85 |
3 Brits & a Yank |
4.69 |
150 - 1 |
55 |
52 |
Gang Greene |
4.56 |
154 - 1 |
56 |
74 |
Possum Gamers |
4.56 |
154 - 1 |
57 |
76 |
KGB B |
4.04 |
174 - 1 |
58 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
3.92 |
179 - 1 |
59 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
3.86 |
182 - 1 |
60 |
84 |
Handsome Tacos |
3.85 |
182 - 1 |
61 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
3.79 |
186 - 1 |
62 |
40 |
Haliquoit Hammers |
3.17 |
222 - 1 |
63 |
33 |
The Other Guys |
2.99 |
235 - 1 |
64 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
2.99 |
235 - 1 |
65 |
73 |
Under the Wire |
2.94 |
239 - 1 |
66 |
51 |
Axis of Ignorance |
2.81 |
250 - 1 |
67 |
57 |
The Gaming Bunch |
2.74 |
257 - 1 |
68 |
41 |
Local Yokels |
2.67 |
264 - 1 |
69 |
26 |
TransitBoy |
2.41 |
292 - 1 |
70 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
2.35 |
299 - 1 |
71 |
47 |
Jay's Basement |
2.31 |
304 - 1 |
72 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
2.22 |
317 - 1 |
73 |
80 |
Wood for Sheep |
2.12 |
332 - 1 |
74 |
34 |
Chicks With Dice |
2.01 |
350 - 1 |
75 |
32 |
Blobs of Protoplasm |
2.00 |
351 - 1 |
76 |
28 |
Joshua 23:10 |
1.78 |
396 - 1 |
77 |
86 |
Beauties & the Beast |
1.61 |
437 - 1 |
78 |
63 |
Pestilence |
1.50 |
469 - 1 |
79 |
78 |
Age Differential |
1.49 |
473 - 1 |
80 |
38 |
Mean Sheep |
1.42 |
495 - 1 |
81 |
48 |
Snake-Eyed Bandits |
1.36 |
518 - 1 |
82 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
1.35 |
519 - 1 |
83 |
45 |
Lady Luck |
1.23 |
573 - 1 |
84 |
68 |
Athena & 3 Spartans |
1.00 |
703 - 1 |
85 |
71 |
Mountin' Laurels |
0.96 |
734 - 1 |
86 |
62 |
Famine |
0.95 |
743 - 1 |
87 |
70 |
Princess & the Frogs |
0.80 |
878 - 1 |
88 |
93 |
Veni, Vidi, Vici erat |
0.65 |
1081 - 1 |
89 |
91 |
Beasts & the Beauty |
0.45 |
1562 - 1 |
90 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
0.44 |
1606 - 1 |
91 |
37 |
Wesley Crushers |
0.15 |
4685 - 1 |
92 |
54 |
Good, Bad, Ugly & Evil |
0.00 |
7000 - 1 |
93 |
79 |
The Board of Education |
0.00 |
7000 - 1 |
|
|
Total Team Points |
702.78 |
702.78 |
Bonus Points Could Determine 2013 Team Winner
July 19, 2013
With 17 more teams signed up, there are now a total of 73 teams with rankings.
Four teams from Greenfield South Carolina registered at once. Their "A team" is clearly team War which is now ranked in the 8th spot overall. This team is led by John Emery who is seeking his seventh win in Up Front. Josh Githens, Bill Beckman, and Brian Collars round out this veteran team.
Almost making the top 10 ranking is team Philly Streets consisting of Aran Warszawski (AGE), Ben Scholl (DOM), Haim Hochboim (AGR), and Jon Senn (PRO). They earn dark horse status and special mention because they are the highest ranked team that has no player competing in an event he has won before. In fact, they are the only team out of 73 that have 4 players who have won events before, yet nobody defending a previous title. Phily Streets is even more intriguing in that 3 of the 4 teammates are competing in an event that another teammate has won before. My guess is that they have all been coaching each other on how to win these games, and they all may now be equally competitive. Winning an event they have not won before would earn them an extra point each. We will see if this strategy pays off for them in the actual competition. Had they all entered an event they had won before, they would have moved up one place in the forecasted standings into 10th place.
With many new teams entered, the free agency pool has turned over considerably. The new Free Agent Fantasy Team consists of Rob Beyma, Harald Henning, Raphael Lehrer, and Mathieu Pare-Paquin. If these four were to form their own team and play in their best events, they would rank second in the team odds list.
Team submissions are still coming in. Don't wait too long to submit yours! (Use the 2013 WBC Pre-Reg Flyer or the Online Team Submission Form or send the information in an email to conventiondirector@boardgamers.org.) The deadline is midnight, US Eastern Time, on Saturday, July 20.
Check the WBC forums on BoardgameGeek and Consimworld, our Facebook group, or our Preregistration page to find those who are looking for teammates. (You can hurry and recruit the top free agents, as well.) Don't forget! ALL team members must pre-register (as adults, NOT juniors) for WBC to be eligible for the competition.
Odds for 73 Teams: Jeff Cornett |
JC Rank |
ID |
Team Name |
Potential team points |
Odds of Winning |
1 |
44 |
Magic Men |
31.93 |
19 - 1 |
2 |
27 |
Nest of Spies |
28.95 |
21 - 1 |
3 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
26.29 |
23 - 1 |
4 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
25.89 |
23 - 1 |
5 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
23.47 |
26 - 1 |
6 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
21.15 |
28 - 1 |
7 |
35 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
19.83 |
30 - 1 |
8 |
60 |
War |
19.05 |
31 - 1 |
9 |
55 |
Polish Lancers |
16.98 |
35 - 1 |
10 |
53 |
Ski Patrol |
15.42 |
39 - 1 |
11 |
58 |
Philly Streets |
14.89 |
40 - 1 |
12 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
14.66 |
41 - 1 |
13 |
29 |
Forgot Our Team Name |
14.63 |
41 - 1 |
14 |
72 |
Four to Beam Up |
13.42 |
45 - 1 |
15 |
69 |
Win, Storm & Struggle |
13.16 |
46 - 1 |
16 |
43 |
The Shockers |
13.02 |
46 - 1 |
17 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
12.82 |
47 - 1 |
18 |
61 |
Death |
12.48 |
48 - 1 |
19 |
67 |
Wabbit's Wevenge |
12.40 |
48 - 1 |
20 |
4 |
Make My Day |
12.14 |
49 - 1 |
21 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
11.90 |
50 - 1 |
22 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
11.60 |
52 - 1 |
23 |
50 |
Ghost Division |
11.59 |
52 - 1 |
24 |
66 |
Chairmen of the Board |
11.50 |
52 - 1 |
25 |
46 |
Barbarossa |
11.05 |
54 - 1 |
26 |
10 |
AREA |
9.81 |
61 - 1 |
27 |
56 |
Tea Blind Mice |
9.58 |
63 - 1 |
28 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
8.68 |
69 - 1 |
29 |
7 |
St Paul's Rejects |
7.48 |
80 - 1 |
30 |
65 |
Lions of Winter |
7.37 |
81 - 1 |
31 |
31 |
Sweep the Leg |
7.11 |
84 - 1 |
32 |
30 |
Go Flank Yourself |
7.08 |
85 - 1 |
33 |
39 |
Beginner's Luck |
6.53 |
92 - 1 |
34 |
42 |
Hello Kitty Kommandos |
6.33 |
95 - 1 |
35 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
6.05 |
99 - 1 |
36 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
5.65 |
106 - 1 |
37 |
49 |
Beach Bums |
5.62 |
107 - 1 |
38 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
5.04 |
119 - 1 |
39 |
36 |
Noobz |
5.00 |
120 - 1 |
40 |
59 |
4 Amigos & a Puppy |
4.90 |
122 - 1 |
41 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
4.77 |
126 - 1 |
42 |
64 |
Apocalypse Parrot Heads |
4.74 |
127 - 1 |
43 |
22 |
Mongols |
4.72 |
127 - 1 |
44 |
52 |
Gang Greene |
4.56 |
132 - 1 |
45 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
3.92 |
153 - 1 |
46 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
3.86 |
155 - 1 |
47 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
3.79 |
158 - 1 |
48 |
40 |
Haliquoit Hammers |
3.17 |
189 - 1 |
49 |
33 |
The Other Guys |
2.99 |
200 - 1 |
50 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
2.99 |
201 - 1 |
51 |
73 |
Under the Wire |
2.94 |
204 - 1 |
52 |
51 |
Axis of Ignorance |
2.81 |
213 - 1 |
53 |
57 |
The Gaming Bunch |
2.74 |
219 - 1 |
54 |
41 |
Local Yokels |
2.67 |
225 - 1 |
55 |
26 |
TransitBoy |
2.41 |
249 - 1 |
56 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
2.35 |
255 - 1 |
57 |
47 |
Jay's Basement |
2.31 |
260 - 1 |
58 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
2.22 |
271 - 1 |
59 |
34 |
Chicks With Dice |
2.01 |
299 - 1 |
60 |
32 |
Blobs of Protoplasm |
2.00 |
300 - 1 |
61 |
28 |
Joshua 23:10 |
1.78 |
338 - 1 |
62 |
63 |
Pestilence |
1.50 |
400 - 1 |
63 |
38 |
Mean Sheep |
1.42 |
422 - 1 |
64 |
48 |
Snake-Eyed Bandits |
1.36 |
442 - 1 |
65 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
1.35 |
443 - 1 |
66 |
45 |
Lady Luck |
1.23 |
489 - 1 |
67 |
68 |
Athena & 3 Spartans |
1.00 |
600 - 1 |
68 |
71 |
Mountin' Laurels |
0.96 |
627 - 1 |
69 |
62 |
Famine |
0.95 |
635 - 1 |
70 |
70 |
Princess & the Frogs |
0.80 |
750 - 1 |
71 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
0.44 |
1371 - 1 |
72 |
37 |
Wesley Crushers |
0.15 |
4000 - 1 |
73 |
54 |
Good, Bad, Ugly & Evil |
0.00 |
6000 - 1 |
Dr J Identifies Most Likely to Exceed Expectations
July 17, 2013
New teams ranked in the top 10 are two very competitive and experienced teams: Polish Lancers at 8th place, and Ski Patrol at 9th place. Ski Patrol may even be stronger than their stats suggest. Mikaela Kumlander is the only newcomer in the top 24 teams. Fear Mikaela in the 18xx tournament! Her talented teammates picked her for a reason.
After the selection of 40 free agents onto 10 new teams, the new top ranked Free Agent Fantasy Team is now John Emery, Ken Gutermuth, Raphael Lehrer, and Mathiew Pare-Paquin. If actually formed, this team would tie Magic Men as the top ranked team.
At the bottom of the team rankings is Team Good, Bad, Ugly and Evil. These are all newcomers from Europe flying in to play at their first World Boardgaming Championship. With no prior WBC laurels or wins, they come in lowest ranked at 6000-1 odds. However, they are this oddsmakers bet for most likely to exceed expectations.
Team submissions are still coming in. Don't wait too long to submit yours! (Use the 2013 WBC Pre-Reg Flyer or the Online Team Submission Form or send the information in an email to conventiondirector@boardgamers.org.) Check the WBC forums on BoardgameGeek and Consimworld, our Facebook group, or our Preregistration page to find those who are looking for teammates. (You can hurry and recruit the top free agents, as well.) Don't forget! ALL team members must pre-register (as adults, NOT juniors) for WBC to be eligible for the competition.
Odds for 56 Teams: Jeff Cornett |
JC Rank |
ID |
Team Name |
Potential team points |
Odds of Winning |
1 |
44 |
Magic Men |
31.93 |
19 - 1 |
2 |
27 |
Nest of Spies |
28.95 |
21 - 1 |
3 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
26.29 |
23 - 1 |
4 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
25.89 |
23 - 1 |
5 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
23.47 |
26 - 1 |
6 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
21.15 |
28 - 1 |
7 |
35 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
19.83 |
30 - 1 |
8 |
55 |
Polish Lancers |
16.98 |
35 - 1 |
9 |
53 |
Ski Patrol |
15.42 |
39 - 1 |
10 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
14.66 |
41 - 1 |
11 |
29 |
Forgot Our Team Name |
14.63 |
41 - 1 |
12 |
43 |
The Shockers |
13.02 |
46 - 1 |
13 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
12.82 |
47 - 1 |
14 |
4 |
Make My Day |
12.14 |
49 - 1 |
15 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
11.90 |
50 - 1 |
16 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
11.60 |
52 - 1 |
17 |
50 |
Ghost Division |
11.59 |
52 - 1 |
18 |
46 |
Barbarossa |
11.05 |
54 - 1 |
19 |
10 |
AREA |
9.81 |
61 - 1 |
20 |
56 |
Tea Blind Mice |
9.58 |
63 - 1 |
21 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
8.68 |
69 - 1 |
22 |
7 |
St Paul's Rejects |
7.48 |
80 - 1 |
23 |
31 |
Sweep the Leg |
7.11 |
84 - 1 |
24 |
30 |
Go Flank Yourself |
7.08 |
85 - 1 |
25 |
39 |
Beginner's Luck |
6.53 |
92 - 1 |
26 |
42 |
Hello Kitty Kommandos |
6.33 |
95 - 1 |
27 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
6.05 |
99 - 1 |
28 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
5.65 |
106 - 1 |
29 |
49 |
Beach Bums |
5.62 |
107 - 1 |
30 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
5.04 |
119 - 1 |
31 |
36 |
Noobz |
5.00 |
120 - 1 |
32 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
4.77 |
126 - 1 |
33 |
22 |
Mongols |
4.72 |
127 - 1 |
34 |
52 |
Gang Greene |
4.56 |
132 - 1 |
35 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
3.92 |
153 - 1 |
36 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
3.86 |
155 - 1 |
37 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
3.79 |
158 - 1 |
38 |
40 |
Haliquoit Hammers |
3.17 |
189 - 1 |
39 |
33 |
The Other Guys |
2.99 |
200 - 1 |
40 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
2.99 |
201 - 1 |
41 |
51 |
Axis of Ignorance |
2.81 |
213 - 1 |
42 |
41 |
Local Yokels |
2.67 |
225 - 1 |
43 |
26 |
TransitBoy |
2.41 |
249 - 1 |
44 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
2.35 |
255 - 1 |
45 |
47 |
Jay's Basement |
2.31 |
260 - 1 |
46 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
2.22 |
271 - 1 |
47 |
34 |
Chicks With Dice |
2.01 |
299 - 1 |
48 |
32 |
Blobs of Protoplasm |
2.00 |
300 - 1 |
49 |
28 |
Joshua 23:10 |
1.78 |
338 - 1 |
50 |
38 |
Mean Sheep |
1.42 |
422 - 1 |
51 |
48 |
Snake-Eyed Bandits |
1.36 |
442 - 1 |
52 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
1.35 |
443 - 1 |
53 |
45 |
Lady Luck |
1.23 |
489 - 1 |
54 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
0.44 |
1371 - 1 |
55 |
37 |
Wesley Crushers |
0.15 |
4000 - 1 |
56 |
54 |
Good, Bad, Ugly & Evil |
0.00 |
6000 - 1 |
Cornett Updates Odds and Identifies Free Agents
July 8, 2013
Having doubled the number of registered teams, we now have a new leader in the forecasted team rankings. Defending champion, Magic Men consists of a nice collection of all stars in Randy Buehler, Andrew Emerick, Sceadeau D'Tela, and Edward Fear. Interestingly, all four are relatively new to the WBC, having only started coming to the convention within the last 3 or 4 years. As individual players, they consistently score high in average laurels and average events won per year. As a team, defending champion speaks for itself.
Nevertheless, there are serveral other strong contenders that could easily win the team championship, including many other teams yet to register.
Speaking of teams that have not yet registered, if the top 4 free agents (Dave Metzger, Riku Riekkinen, Curt Collins II, and Ken Guermuth) joined forces and formed their own dream team, they would become the top rated team at WBC, surpassing even Magic Men. These are all consistently successful gamers. (Download the list.)
Perhaps more intriguing is that if any combination of the top 55 free agents formed a team, they would be a top 10 ranked team. For instance, even near the end of the top 55 list, a top-10 team could be put together consisting of Dennis Nicholson, Steven Lewinter, Tom DeMarco, and Bob Heinzmann.
So, it's not too late to put together a very competitive team. (Use the 2013 WBC Pre-Reg Flyer or the Online Team Submission Form or send the information in an email to conventiondirector@boardgamers.org.) Of course, many of these presumed free agents are already committed to teams that have not yet submitted their roster. However, many of these players are truly free agents sitting on the sidelines wondering if anyone will ask them to the big dance.
Odds for First 46 Teams Submitted: Jeff Cornett |
JC Rank |
ID |
Team Name |
Potential team points |
Odds of Winning |
1 |
44 |
Magic Men |
31.93 |
19 - 1 |
2 |
27 |
Nest of Spies |
28.95 |
21 - 1 |
3 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
27.14 |
22 - 1 |
4 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
25.89 |
23 - 1 |
5 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
23.47 |
26 - 1 |
6 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
21.15 |
28 - 1 |
7 |
35 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
19.83 |
30 - 1 |
8 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
14.66 |
41 - 1 |
9 |
29 |
Forgot Our Team Name |
14.63 |
41 - 1 |
10 |
43 |
The Shockers |
13.02 |
46 - 1 |
11 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
12.82 |
47 - 1 |
12 |
4 |
Make My Day |
12.14 |
49 - 1 |
13 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
11.90 |
50 - 1 |
14 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
11.60 |
52 - 1 |
15 |
46 |
Barbarossa |
11.05 |
54 - 1 |
16 |
10 |
AREA |
9.81 |
61 - 1 |
17 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
8.68 |
69 - 1 |
18 |
7 |
St Paul's Rejects |
7.48 |
80 - 1 |
19 |
31 |
Sweep the Leg |
7.11 |
84 - 1 |
20 |
30 |
Go Flank Yourself |
7.08 |
85 - 1 |
21 |
39 |
Beginner's Luck |
6.53 |
92 - 1 |
22 |
42 |
Hello Kitty Kommandos |
6.33 |
95 - 1 |
23 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
6.05 |
99 - 1 |
24 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
5.65 |
106 - 1 |
25 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
5.04 |
119 - 1 |
26 |
36 |
Noobz |
5.00 |
120 - 1 |
27 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
4.77 |
126 - 1 |
28 |
22 |
Mongols |
4.72 |
127 - 1 |
29 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
3.92 |
153 - 1 |
30 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
3.86 |
155 - 1 |
31 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
3.79 |
158 - 1 |
32 |
40 |
Haliquoit Hammers |
3.17 |
189 - 1 |
33 |
33 |
The Other Guys |
2.99 |
200 - 1 |
34 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
2.99 |
201 - 1 |
35 |
41 |
Local Yokels |
2.67 |
225 - 1 |
36 |
26 |
TransitBoy |
2.41 |
249 - 1 |
37 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
2.35 |
255 - 1 |
38 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
2.22 |
271 - 1 |
39 |
34 |
Chicks With Dice |
2.01 |
299 - 1 |
40 |
32 |
Blobs of Protoplasm |
2.00 |
300 - 1 |
41 |
28 |
Joshua 23:10 |
1.78 |
338 - 1 |
42 |
38 |
Mean Sheep |
1.42 |
422 - 1 |
43 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
1.35 |
443 - 1 |
44 |
45 |
Lady Luck |
1.23 |
489 - 1 |
45 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
0.44 |
1371 - 1 |
46 |
37 |
Wesley Crushers |
0.15 |
4000 - 1 |
Dueling Handicappers: Tucker vs. Cornett
July 8, 2013
Since Stuart “the Happy Handicapper” Tucker decided to go off on vacation, WBC veteran Jeff Cornett has volunteered to step in with some handicapping of his own. Who will come closest to identifying the top teams at WBC 2013? Only the first 25 teams submitted are considered below. The teams above are in the order they were submitted. You still have time to enter your team into the tournament using the 2013 WBC Pre-Reg Flyer or the Online Team Submission Form or by sending the information in an email to conventiondirector@boardgamers.org! There were 86 teams in the running in 2012 and 101 teams in 2009. Who will throw their hats into the ring in 2013?
Odds for First 25 Teams Submitted: Dueling Handicappers |
Stuart Tucker (ST) Predictions |
|
Jeff Cornett (JC) Predictions |
ST Rank |
Team# |
Team Name |
Power Rating |
Odds |
|
JC Rank |
Team# |
Team Name |
Potential Pts. |
Odds |
1 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
429 |
24 ‐1 |
|
1 |
6 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
27 |
22 -1 |
2 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
359 |
29 ‐1 | |
2 |
23 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
26 |
23 -1 |
3 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
303 |
35 ‐1 | |
3 |
25 |
Band of Fools |
23 |
26-1 |
4 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
241 |
44 ‐1 | |
4 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
21 |
28-1 |
5 |
17 |
Uncivil Servants |
231 |
46 ‐1 | |
5 |
20 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
15 |
41-1 |
6 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
229 |
46 ‐1 | |
6 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
13 |
47-1 |
7 |
15 |
MIT SGS |
227 |
47 ‐1 | |
7 |
4 |
Make My Day |
12 |
49-1 |
8 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
219 |
49 ‐1 | |
8 |
16 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
12 |
50-1 |
9 |
4 |
Make My Day |
211 |
50 ‐1 | |
9 |
8 |
Consulting Firm |
12 |
52-1 |
10 |
7 |
St. Paul's Rejects |
200 |
53 ‐1 | |
10 |
10 |
AREA |
10 |
61-1 |
11 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
191 |
56 ‐1 | |
11 |
3 |
Cynical Stoics |
9 |
69-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
150 |
71 ‐1 |
|
12 |
7 |
St Paul's Rejects |
7 |
80-1 |
13 |
10 |
AREA |
140 |
76 ‐1 | |
13 |
12 |
Ice & Fire |
6 |
99-1 |
14 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
127 |
84 ‐1 | |
14 |
1 |
Gaming Speed Bumps |
6 |
106-1 |
15 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
89 |
121 ‐1 | |
15 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
5 |
119-1 |
16 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
83 |
130 ‐1 | |
16 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
5 |
126-1 |
17 |
24 |
Iron Meeples |
79 |
136 ‐1 | |
17 |
22 |
Mongols |
5 |
127-1 |
18 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
78 |
138 ‐1 | |
18 |
21 |
The Wrath of Don |
4 |
153-1 |
19 |
22 |
Mongols |
67 |
161 ‐1 | |
19 |
18 |
Cardboard Heroes |
4 |
155-1 |
20 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
60 |
180 ‐1 | |
20 |
13 |
Nathan's Nuggets |
4 |
158-1 |
21 |
5 |
Aces & Eights |
59 |
183 ‐1 | |
21 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
3 |
201-1 |
22 |
19 |
Pea Soup |
43 |
250 ‐1 | |
22 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
2 |
255-1 |
23 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
31 |
350 ‐1 | |
23 |
14 |
Kromp on Krewe |
2 |
271-1 |
24 |
11 |
The Harley Gang |
20 |
540 ‐1 | |
24 |
9 |
Pixel Juice |
1 |
443-1 |
25 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
4 |
2700 ‐1 | |
25 |
2 |
The Cabooses |
0 |
1371-1 |
The Early Line
By Stuart “the Happy Handicapper” Tucker
July 2, 2013
I know it seems early. You have just wrapped up somebody’s school year, and haven’t thought about your team yet. But let’s face it, the odds are already stacked against you this year (just take a look at the projected top 15 teams this year--my apologies to the name changers, I’m doing this long before I see the entries). Your team, no matter how inspired, must still overcome these old hands. Unless Hoover breaks up the consortia that make up the top teams, the rest of us must look to gimmicks for a chance. Don’t bother entering the likes of For the People. Try instead a really big game where the reward will put your team out in front. That’s what helped the Magic Men to victory last year! Don’t settle for a top ten ranking by playing in the tiniest of events and hoping to score four times; you’ll still fall short of the top (you know who you are--time to step up to the plate in real events!). Let’s all take hope from the fact that, yes, indeed, it is possible to win Slapshot twice. Thank you, Derek, you give hope to the masses!
I’m not quite ready to put the Finns on this list of the top 15 teams going into the summer. Maybe next year. I’m still waiting for a sustained breakthrough. Speaking of which, bring back Blitzkrieg--I love those 8-4-4 units!
I’ve noticed an odd-year/even-year betting split. Ignore it at your own peril. Go with Uncivil Servants over Roll One Die. Also, after a year in which the “Me” obviously failed his 3 Stiffs, look for a turnaround performance.
But, hey, you can always try to bribe away some of the top players. It is draft season, after all. Make them offers they can’t refuse. Shake things up. Let’s see how many of these early favorites can be pushed below the line by player moves! I’m sure most of them think they are the crucial link on their team anyway. They can win without their oldtime mates. Offer them a keg, a celt, or a key to the city.
That about wraps it up for my tips on breaking the odds. But if you’ve been paying attention over the years: don’t bet the long shots. If their odds go into triple digits, they have as much chance of winning as a GM who wants a favor from the Con Directors after forgetting to submit their After Action Report. Even Happy knew the Magic Men were in the upper half last year. And just because Don is giving out bonus points, that doesn’t make Greenspielers a contender. (Ask a veteran if he’s playing a new game for his team or sticking with his polished one. Yeah, leading with your inexperience isn’t recommended.)
EARLY LINE: PROJECTED TOP 15
Rank |
Team |
Power Rating |
Odds |
Comments |
1 |
Your Name's Not Bruce? |
429 |
24 |
-1 |
Best to not get Bruce mad |
2 |
Nest of Spies |
421 |
24 |
-1 |
Fading lustre? |
3 |
Wood Bee Contenders |
359 |
28 |
-1 |
Perennial contenders |
4 |
Me & 3 Stiffs |
306 |
33 |
-1 |
Well, four stiffs in 2012 |
5 |
Band of Fools |
303 |
34 |
-1 |
Searching in the mist |
6 |
Roll One Die |
268 |
38 |
-1 |
Odd year, no chance |
7 |
GM War |
260 |
39 |
-1 |
Consider larger events? |
8 |
We Ain't Dead Yet |
241 |
43 |
-1 |
Just take a break and play! |
9 |
Uncivil Servants |
234 |
44 |
-1 |
Look out, it's an odd year |
10 |
Jormungandr |
229 |
45 |
-1 |
One link short of greatness |
11 |
St. Paul's Rejects |
222 |
46 |
-1 |
Slipping down |
12 |
EPGS Wabbit's Wevenge |
222 |
46 |
-1 |
Euwo gamews |
13 |
3 Men & a Canadian |
219 |
47 |
-1 |
Who gets the Dune baton? |
14 |
Flush Stein |
218 |
47 |
-1 |
Flushed too soon |
15 |
Magic Men |
213 |
48 |
-1 |
Joining the upper ranks |
|